Friday, June 25, 2010

Swiss currency's long-running rally ?

TORONTO -(Dow Jones)- The climb in the Swiss franc continued Friday, with the currency smashing through previous record highs to drive the euro below the psychologically significant CHF1.35 level.

The Swiss currency's long-running rally has accelerated of late after the Swiss National Bank stepped back last week from its policy of seeking to hold it down, a stance it reiterated Monday.

Broad-based euro weakness and a fresh burst of general nerves are giving fuel to the move. Late afternoon the euro was trading at CHF.3491, up from its most recent all-time low at CHF1.3456.

Until the central bank sees evidence that the strong franc is fuelling deflation by making imports cheaper--an unlikely prospect at this point--it is expected to allow the currency to keep on rising. That marks a sharp contrast to the SNB's heavy-duty program of buying euros to slow the franc's ascent in recent months.

"The combination of risk sentiment being pulled back and the euro declining is toxic for the Swiss franc," said Michael Hart, a currencies analyst at Citigroup in London.

The rapid rise in the Swiss currency is likely to test the SNB's new policy, and fresh intervention cannot be ruled out, Hart said. "Either way though, intervention would likely provide only a temporary reprieve from Swiss franc appreciation in the context of relatively healthy fundamentals," he said.

Chart-watching technical strategists at Barclays Capital suggested Wednesday that over the long term, the risk of the euro falling to parity against the Swiss franc "cannot easily be dismissed."

-By Katie Martin, Dow Jones Newswires; 44-20-7842-9346; katie.martin@dowjones.com

(Karen Johnson in Toronto contributed to this article.)

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Tuesday, June 22, 2010

China's decision to increase the flexibility of the exchange rate of its currency

SANTIAGO (Dow Jones)--China's decision to increase the flexibility of the exchange rate of its currency, the yuan, bodes well for Chile, especially in light of high commodity prices, said Chile's Economy Minister Juan Andres Fontaine on Tuesday.

As one of Chile's main trading partners, China's increased currency flexibility could increase the Asian giant's appetite for Chilean exports, especially copper.

Chile currently produces 30% of the world's copper, and China is one of the biggest buyers of its local copper production.

The change in currency policy ensures China's rapid economic growth, Fontaine said at CorpBanca's (BCA, CORPBANCA.SN) annual Economics Seminar.

"The gradual appreciation policy in the currency is very compatible with a sustained expansion of demand," said Fontaine.

The minister said that the true risk from China's new monetary policy would more likely be on the side of inflationary pressures rather than deflation, but emphasized that the policy is positive for Chile.

The news from China and high copper and commodity prices make a "favorable" combination for Chile, Fontaine said.

As a result of China's weekend announcement, the peso appreciated against the dollar Monday, ending at CLP530.30, compared to Friday's close of CLP534.80.

-By Erin McCarthy, Dow Jones Newswires; 56-2-715-8939; Chile@dowjones.com

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June 22, 2010 12:42 ET (16:42 GMT)

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